Markouts Lab

Per-swap markout PnL across V3 and V4 ETH/USDC pools, benchmarked against Binance ETH/USDC spot at 1-second resolution. The markout is computed as eth_delta × (ref_price(t+Δ) − swap_price), where swap_price is taken from the Swap event and already includes the LP fee. So the markout is net of fees: positive = LP's fee revenue exceeded LVR over that horizon; negative = LVR exceeded fees (LP lost net). Horizons: 0 = at swap block, 1blk = +12s, 1m / 5m / 60m = at swap block + delta.
PoolSwapsVolumeMO @0MO @1blkMO @1mMO @5mMO @60mMarkout Intensity @1mMO vs Fees Coverage @1m
ETH/USDC 0.05% V3692,531$18.94B$-3.10M$-4.11M$-4.07M$-3.93M$-3.54M-2.15 bps-43.0%
ETH/USDC 0.01% V31,623,110$2.92B$201.4K$164.8K$161.6K$161.9K$164.9K+0.55 bps+55.3%
ETH/USDC 0.30% V370,635$565.36M$86.1K$34.3K$57.1K$44.2K$79.0K+1.01 bps+3.4%
ETH/USDC 0.01% V4557,299$498.86M$13.4K$7.0K$6.5K$5.5K$5.2K+0.13 bps+13.0%
ETH/USDC 0.30% V445,411$420.37M$-126.2K$-122.4K$-115.2K$-135.8K$-126.7K-2.74 bps-9.1%
ETH/USDC 0.05% V4218,879$348.35M$-70.7K$-91.8K$-92.9K$-97.5K$-69.3K-2.67 bps-53.3%

Cumulative Markout PnL — ETH/USDC 0.05% V4 (180d)