Markouts Lab

Per-swap markout PnL across V3 and V4 ETH/USDC pools, benchmarked against Binance ETH/USDC spot at 1-second resolution. The markout is computed as eth_delta × (ref_price(t+Δ) − swap_price), where swap_price is taken from the Swap event and already includes the LP fee. So the markout is net of fees: positive = LP's fee revenue exceeded LVR over that horizon; negative = LVR exceeded fees (LP lost net). Horizons: 0 = at swap block, 1blk = +12s, 1m / 5m / 60m = at swap block + delta.
PoolSwapsVolumeMO @0MO @1blkMO @1mMO @5mMO @60mMarkout Intensity @1mMO vs Fees Coverage @1m
ETH/USDC 0.05% V390,174$1.08B$51.1K$-12.1K$-27.0K$-2.0K$-2.0K-0.25 bps-5.0%
ETH/USDC 0.01% V3231,989$625.50M$27.5K$17.0K$12.7K$14.5K$14.1K+0.20 bps+20.2%
ETH/USDC 0.30% V47,690$62.94M$-13.6K$2.3K$1.2K$-5.0K$-6.3K+0.20 bps+0.7%
ETH/USDC 0.01% V455,006$55.73M$2.5K$1.9K$1.6K$1.7K$1.7K+0.29 bps+29.0%
ETH/USDC 0.30% V310,928$54.75M$16.7K$9.5K$8.9K$9.2K$6.0K+1.63 bps+5.4%
ETH/USDC 0.05% V424,380$28.39M$-2.1K$-3.7K$-6.6K$-7.2K$-7.7K-2.34 bps-46.7%

Cumulative Markout PnL — ETH/USDC 0.30% V4 (90d)